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2005
NFC West Football preview |
by:
James
Campbell |
OVERVIEW:
NFC West
The Arizona Cardinals have posted a mark
of 22-42 straight up over the past four
seasons which is by far the worst win/loss
record of any team in the NFC West, however,
that’s all about to change in 2005 as I
fully expect these Cardinals to win this
division and make the playoffs, remember
that you heard it here first!
Cardinal HC Denny Green had another fantastic
draft highlighted by picking CB Antrel Rolle
and RB J.J. Arrington with his first and
second choices followed by selecting CB
Eric Green and LB Darryl Blackstock with
his third and fourth picks, Rolle and Arrington
will in all likelihood be immediate starters
while Green and Blackstock will add depth
to a defense that improved from 26th overall
in 2003 to 12th overall in the league in
2004.
Denny Green got a draft steal in the forth
round by picking up OG Elton Brown out of
Virginia who may very well be another immediate
starter, Brown is a mountain of a man at
6’4 and 339 lbs and was a two time recipient
of the Jacobs Blocking Trophy which is given
annually to the ACC’s top blocker.
The Cards did very well in the free agent
wars by signing two time league MVP Kurt
Warner to lead the offense and play catch
with WR’s Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin
who comprise one of the best WR tandems
in the NFL, to help protect Warner in the
pocket the Cards signed OG Oliver Ross away
from Pittsburgh and for good measure also
brought in OT’s Ian Allen and Adam Haayer
for added depth.
Arizona has managed to interject a lot of
young talent on their roster via excellent
drafting as evidenced by the fact that 13
of the Cards 14 draft choices from 2003
and 2004 are on the roster for 2005, and
to think that 7 of those 14 draft picks
from 2003 and 2004 are starters!
Seattle can’t seem to get out of their own
way with regard to posting an overall win/loss
mark of 35-31 over the past four years which
has led to them being what is referred to
as a “middle of the road” team, not bad
enough to be in line for higher draft picks
but yet not good enough to capitalize on
opportunity when it knocks on their door.
The Seahawks finished 2004 with an offense
ranked 8th overall in the league but defensively
fell from 19th overall in 2003 to 26th overall
in 2004, the Hawks really didn’t help themselves
too much in the draft and instead concentrated
on free agency to shore up their defense
as 8 of their 11 free agent signings were
defense related as they picked up two DE’s,
two LB’s, two CB’s, a DT, and a Safety.
The Hawks brought in WR’s Joe Jurevicius
and Jerome Pathon to ease the release of
problem child WR Koren Robinson who had
an off season DUI, the loss of backup QB
Trent Dilfer to Cleveland will hurt the
Hawks tremendously if QB Matt Hasselbeck
goes down to injury and RB Shaun Alexander
is threatening to sit out most of training
camp in protest of the Hawks not honoring
him with a new deal, ahhhhhhh nothing but
problems problems problems for HC Mike Holmgren.
St. Louis by far has the best four year
record of any team in this division with
a win/loss mark of 44-26, however, the continued
bad play calling and terrible clock management
by HC Mike Martz has led to this team falling
well short of expectations given this teams
immense talent level over the past few years.
The Rams have made the playoffs four of
the past five years during Martz’s tenure,
however, bone headed play calling in 2000
led to a first round loss at the hands of
the Saints 31-28 and to think the Rams were
6.5 point road favorites playing at New
Orleans, the following season saw these
Rams completely out coached when they were
installed as 14 point favorites in the Super
Bowl against New England but lost 20-17.
2003 saw these Rams once again exit the
playoff picture in a 29-23 first round loss
to Carolina in a game played at St Louis
with the Rams installed as 7 point home
favorites, then of course how can we forget
the 47-17 pasting the Rams absorbed last
season in the playoffs against an Atlanta
team that was nowhere near as talented as
the Rams?
The Rams had a very average draft and didn’t
really help themselves in the free agent
wars other than picking up LB’s Dexter Coakley
and Chris Claiborne to help shore up a defensive
unit that ranked a shoddy 29th in rushing
yards allowed in 2004. I fully expect to
see these Rams finish below the .500 mark
in 2005 and if Georgia is smart she will
give Martz the ole boot at seasons end.
The Niners had a pretty good draft but they
are still at least two years away from being
able to compete for the divisional crown,
HC Mike Nolan has already stated that his
intention is to go ahead and start the NFL’s
first overall draft pick QB Alex Smith under
center and let him gain experience, meaning
of course that the Niner organization is
expecting nothing from this team in 2005
and neither do I.
In closing, obviously I am very high on
Arizona this season and expect big things
from them in 2005, with that being said
I will recommend two “Futures wagers” on
the Cardinals,( A.) To win the NFC West
and (B.) To go OVER the posted seasonal
win/loss total of 7.5.
In addition to the reasoning I laid out
above as to why these Cards will win this
division its also noteworthy that Arizona
will face the league’s 2nd easiest schedule
when considering that the Cards 2005 schedule
is comprised of teams that tallied a combined
straight up win/loss record of 120-147 last
year which equates to a winning percentage
of only .449.
Jim Campbell is one of the nations most
respected Sports Handicappers, he specializes
in College and Pro Football, you can visit
Jim at his website located at footballforecastor.com
for all of your handicapping needs including
free play selections, College and NFL stats,
trends and award winning analysis on upcoming
games.
With over 30 plus years experience in the
handicapping profession Jim has built a
solid reputation, his web based handicapping
service at footballforecastor.com as been
in existence since 1997 and year after year
proves to be one of the very best handicapping
services in America.
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