The
Coming Television Revolution by:
Terry Mitchell The
revolution is just getting started and will
begin to make its mark this year. By 2010,
it will begin to take off. By 2025, it will
be the standard for all TV viewing. It's
called Internet Protocol Television, or
IPTV for short. IPTV works with a set-top
box connected to any broadband interface
and to a TV. It will allow users to choose
among thousands (and eventually hundreds
of thousands) of hours of programming, including
movies, sports, classic TV, etc., and download
their selections from the internet to the
hard drive of the set-top box. Initially,
set-top box hard drives will be able to
store up to 300 hours of programming at
a time, but capacity will expand as the
technology becomes more refined. Also, download
times will become shorter and shorter as
broadband connection speeds become faster
and faster. Eventually, a two-hour movie
will be fully downloadable in a couple of
minutes. Once the programs are downloaded
to the hard drive, they can be viewed on
the connected TV at any time via a DVR-type
interface provided by the set-top box.
Besides the convenience of an all video-on-demand
(VOD) environment, IPTV will provide a much
wider range of programming than broadcast,
cable, and satellite TV, or even major video
chains, could ever provide. Because the
programming is available from the internet,
it will be almost completely unlimited and
unconstrained. Programming from all over
the world will be available along with every
imaginable genre of niche programming. Also,
previously unreleased independent films
that have been sitting on shelves for years
due to the lack of a distribution source
will suddenly become available to the masses
via IPTV. Films that previously could not
be made at all will become a reality and
be available on the IPTV services. Long
forgotten films and TV shows will have new
life breathed into them by IPTV. To top
it all off, much of this programming will
be eventually be available in high definition
(HDTV)!
Most IPTV platforms will be divided into
"channels", but not the same kind
of channels that we have grown accustomed
to with traditional TV services. In this
case, a "channel" is defined as
a division of an IPTV service by individual
content provider. Each content provider
carried by a given IPTV platform will have
its own guidelines for delivering programming
on its channel. Some will provide their
content for free to everyone who owns a
given IPTV product. Some will be subscription
based, i.e., everything on their channels
will be available for a monthly or annual
subscription. Others will be all pay-per-view.
Still others will provide a combination
of all of the above.
Several entrants into this market have
either already debuted or plan to debut
sometime this year. Among those are Akimbo
(www.akimbo.com),
DAVETV (www.dave.tv), TimeShifTV (www.timeshiftv.com),
and VCinema (www.vcinema.com).
Please see their respective websites for
more details, as each one will offer a slightly
different variation of IPTV technology.
In addition, a joint venture between TiVo
(www.tivo.com)
and NetFlix (www.netflix.com)
will be starting up later this year. TiVo
plans to eventually make the entire Netflix
DVD library available to its customers on
an on-demand basis via a broadband connection
to a TiVo box and a TV. Other potential
IPTV contenders will be announcing their
intentions over the next year or two. One
of these nascent IPTV services headquartered
near my home has already started placing
"help wanted" ads in my local
newspaper.
Within the next 20 years, all the fuss
over broadcast TV indecency will become
irrelevant, as there will be very little
other than news and live sporting events
on broadcast TV. The major networks will
shift most of their entertainment programs
to IPTV to avoid all the broadcast content
restrictions currently being enforced by
the FCC. Eventually, broadcast TV will cease
to exist. Cable and satellite services as
we know them will also become extinct. Yes,
there will still be cable and satellite
platforms, but they, along with DSL and
wireless internet services, will exist merely
as conduits for bringing broadband internet
into homes and offices. There won't be any
more cable and satellite TV, per se. The
now 60-year-old paradigm of television schedules
in which programs air at specific times
on specific days of the week will pretty
much be a thing of the past. Everything,
except what's left of broadcast TV, will
be exclusively available on demand via an
IPTV platform.
These developments in no way mean that
all TV programming will become more risqué.
While there will be plenty of risqué programming
available to those who want it, there will
an almost unlimited supply of family and
religious programs available. With a veritable
smorgasbord of entertainment options at
your fingertips, there will be something
available for all tastes. IPTV may not turn
out to be a TV utopia, but it's at least
going to come close that ideal.
About The Author
Terry Mitchell is a software engineer,
freelance writer, and trivia buff
from Hopewell, VA. He also serves
as a political columnist for American
Daily and operates his own website
-
http://www.commenterry.com - on
which he posts commentaries on various
subjects such as politics, technology,
religion, health and well-being, personal
finance, and sports. His commentaries
offer a unique point of view that
is not often found in mainstream media.
terrymitchell@verizon.net |
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