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The
10 Golden Rules of Trading |
by:
Paul
King |
1
Introduction
In this article we cover the few important
rules that should never be broken in trading.
If you can apply these rules consistently,
and with discipline, you will be well on
the way to being a profitable trader.
The rules we cover are:
• Have specific goals and objectives
• Be consistent and disciplined
• Let profits run
• Cut losses short
• Never add to a losing trade
• Don’t take too much risk
• Only trade positive expectancy systems
• Minimize all trading business costs
• Be well educated
• Don’t trade scared money
Each of the rules will now be discussed.
2 The Golden Rules of Trading
The following sections outline a set of
rules that can significantly improve your
chances of success if they are understood,
practiced, and implemented consistently
in your trading. These rules have been learned
the hard way, by study, research, trial-and-error,
and the inevitable mistakes that everyone
makes when they start a trading business.
We hope that you can learn from the work
we have done, and benefit from our experience.
The rules will now be discussed.
2.1 Have specific goals and objectives
Few things are more important to your trading
success than having set (i.e. written) goals
and objective for what you are aiming to
achieve. It is amazing to me how often we
hit our targets, meet our objectives, and
reach our goals only when we articulate
them and write them down.
For any business to be successful it must
have measurable objectives that are actually
achievable. In trading (obviously) the primary
objective is to make money, but it is important
to have other objectives that are not purely
cash-related. We must always remember that
reward and risk go hand-in-hand in trading
and that we cannot expect to achieve high
returns without planning for high risk (i.e.
draw-downs).
Your objectives and goals will be very specific
to you, but they must have the following
characteristics to be useful:
• Be measurable (in completion and timeframe)
• Be achievable
• Be worthwhile
• Be positive
As an example, here are some of our current
objectives (this is only a partial list):
• Develop 2 new positive-expectancy trading
systems each year
• Make fewer errors implementing our trading
systems each year
• Achieve a return to maximum draw-down
ratio of 1.5:1
• Take 2 weeks vacation each year
Note that only one of them is about making
money, and that has a measurable objective
that is relative to draw-down, not absolute
(i.e. make 100% per year). If you know what
you are trying to achieve, and when you
are trying to achieve it, the whole business
will be focused on meeting
your objectives and help guide you to only
pay attention to things you really want
to achieve with your limited time and resources.
This will also give you a way to measure
the success and progress of your trading.
Generally traders with well-defined objectives
will be much more successful than those
that do not have pre-defined goals.
2.2 Be consistent and disciplined
In order to realize the full potential of
your trading systems it is critical that
you take every trading entry, adjust every
stop, and close out every trade as and when
your system says you should do. This takes
extreme confidence in your trading systems,
good robust reliable technology, and the
mental discipline to stick to your trading
plan whatever happens (assuming it is complete).
An underlying assumption about being consistent
and disciplined is that you have a pre-defined
plan for every situation you may face in
your trading, so that you know how you are
defining what being consistent is. Your
plan needs to include at least the following
items:
• All your trading rules for entering, adding
to, and exiting positions
• What you will do if your trading computer,
internet connection, broker, power, telephone
etc. fails
• What you will do if you are unable to
trade
• What you will do if you lose X% of your
account
• What you will do if all the markets are
closed and you can’t exit your positions
Unless you write the answers down to all
these issues, you cannot be consistent and
disciplined in your approach to trading
and if you lose money you will not know
whether it is because you didn’t follow
your plan, because your plan is incomplete,
because your systems do not work, or simply
because you are going through a losing period.
2.3 Let profits run
This simple rule is the key to being a successful
trader. It is three simple words that are
very hard to actually implement. When we
get a profitable trade our natural fear
of losing the unrealized cash kicks in and
we truly want to close it out now and take
the money. Most trading consists of long
periods of small winners and losers followed
by a few huge winners that make the difference
between overall profitability and simply
breaking even or losing due to trading costs(commissions,
spread, and slippage).
It is our ability to let the huge winners
become just that - huge - that determines
how we will perform overall during the year.
The key to letting winners run is to have
trailing stops that are outside the daily
noise of the market so that they are not
tight enough to get stopped out during ‘normal’
trading. This means being prepared to give
up a significant portion of a winning trade’s
open profit and is the thing that makes
this so hard to implement. In fact, we should
be adding to a winner and widening stops
rather than working out how tight our stops
can be to capture maximum profit. The trade
has already shown you that it intends to
be a winner, and the chances are it is a
low-risk idea to add to the position now
rather than ‘strangle it’ with stops that
are too tight.
It is very important that your position
management rules allow for large winning
trades, and that the rules are pre-defined
and understood before you place the trade.
This will allow you (if you have confidence
in your method and discipline) to stick
to your rules when you do get the big
winner.
2.4 Cut losses short
This is the sister rule to the previous
one, and is usually just as difficult to
implement (although it
is very easy to define). In the same way
that profitability comes from a few large
winning trades, capital preservation comes
from avoiding the few large losers that
the market will toss your way each year.
Setting a maximum loss point before you
enter the trade so you know before-hand
approximately how much you are risking on
this particular position is relatively straightforward.
You simply need to have a exit price that
says to you ‘this trade is a loser and I
will exit before it gets any bigger’. Due
to gaps at the open, or limit moves in futures
we can never be 100%
certain that we can get out with our maximum
loss, but simply having the rules, and always
sticking to it will save us from the nasty
trades that just keep on going and going
against our position until we have lost
more than many winning trades can make back.
If you have a losing position that is at
you maximum loss point, just get out. Do
not hope that it will turn around. Given
that trades are either winners or losers,
and this one is shouting ‘Loser’ at you,
the chances that it will turn around and
become a large winner is tiny. Why risk
any more money on this losing trade, when
you could simply close it out (accept the
loss) and move on. This will leave you in
a much better place financially and mentally,
than holding the position and hoping it
will go back your way. Even if it did do
this, the mental energy and negative feelings
from holding the losing position are not
worth it. Always stick to your rules and
exit a position if it hits your stop point.
2.5 Never add to a losing trade
One of the few trade management rules that
we can state we never break is ‘Never add
to a losing trade’. Trades are split into
winners and losers, and if a trade is a
loser, the chances of it turning right around
and becoming a winner are too small to risk
more money on. If indeed it is a winner
disguised as a loser, why not wait until
it shows it’s true colors (and becomes a
winner)before you add to it.
If you do this you will notice that nearly
always the trade ends up hitting your stop
loss and does not look back. Sometimes the
trade turns around before it hits your stop
and becomes a winner and you can count yourself
very fortunate. Sometimes the trade hits
your stop loss and then
turns around and becomes a winner and you
can count yourself unlucky. Whatever the
result, it is never worth adding to a loser,
hoping that it will become a winner. The
odds of success are just too low to risk
more capital in addition to the initial
risk.
2.6 Don’t take too much risk
One of the most devastating mistakes any
trader can make is risking too much of their
capital on a single trade. One thing is
certain in trading and that is if you lose
all your capital you are out of the game.
Why risk so much you could be prevented
from continuing? There is a saying in
poker than going all-in (risking all your
chips) works every time but once. This is
true of trading.
If you risk all your account on every trade
it only takes one loser to wipe you out
(and no trading method is 100% accurate),
so you will be out of the game at some point
– it is only a question of time.
In general, we only risk 1-3% of the available
capital allocated to a system on any individual
trade. This is calculated using the size
and, the difference between our entry price
and our maximum stop price, and the amount
of capital allocated to the system. With
the win probability
and ratio of size of winning trades to losing
trades we are almost certain never to lose
all of our trading capital. In fact, the
chance of us hitting our maximum drawdown
for the year is tiny.
All trades should be of a size that almost
seems insignificant. If you are worried
about the size of a trade then it is too
big and you should reduce the size immediately.
Remember that longevity is the key to making
money by trading – slowly over a long time
with minimal risk, is always preferable
to rapidly with too much risk.
2.7 Only trade positive expectancy systems
If you have a positive expectancy trading
system, the only factors that determine
how much money you will make per year are
the number of trades the system generates,
how much capital you allocate to the system,
and how accurately you implement the trading
signals. If you do not know whether your
trading system is positive expectancy then
why are you trading it? Expectancy is calculated
using the profit or loss on each trade (net
of trading implementation
costs) divided by the initial risk (using
your stop loss) and then taking the average
of this number of a series of trades. Systems
that have positive expectancy will make
money on average and those with negative
expectancy will lose money.
Successful traders only trade systems where
the odds of success are in their favor (i.e.
the system is positive expectancy) so they
know that making money is the result of
accurately implementing the system and not
just pure luck.
2.8 Minimize all trading business costs
Some trading systems have only marginal
profitability, and trading implementation
costs (commission, spread, and slippage)
can be the difference between profitability
and making a loss. With the easy availability
of modern electronic brokers, and fully-automated
trade processing and
execution, it is definitely worthwhile looking
for a very low cost way to implement your
trading system. High commission, wide spreads,
and large amount of slippage can be reduced
considerably simply by carefully choosing
a broker. This can be the difference between
a system
(especially a high frequency one) being
useable or not. Paying too much for trade
implementation is an avoidable way to lose
money.
2.9 Be educated
In order to compete at the highest level
in the trading business and be one of the
few truly successful participants you must
be well-educated about what you are doing.
This does not mean having a degree from
a well-respected university – the market
doesn’t care where you were educated.
Being well-educated means that you have
thoroughly researched and tested your trading
ideas and know why your trading system worked
in the past and is continuing to work now.
It means understanding all the technology
and applications that your system needs
to perform accurately.
It means understanding your goal and objectives
and how trading will achieve these. It means
understanding yourself and how your personality
affects your results. It means understanding
the markets and instruments you trade.
In order to succeed you really need to become
an expert in your own trading business to
understand how it all fits together, when
it is broken, and how it can be improved.
As with all worthwhile endeavors, this takes
commitment, hard work, dedication, and more
hard work.
2.10 Don’t trade scared money
Lastly, no one ever made any money trading
when they had to do it to pay the mortgage
at the end of the month. Having a requirement
to make X dollars per month or you will
be financially in trouble is the best way
I know to completely mess up all trading
discipline, rules, objectives, and
leads quickly to disaster.
Trading is about taking a reasonable risk
in order to achieve a good reward. The markets
and how and when they give up their profits
is not under your control. Do not trade
if you need the money to pay bills. Do not
trade if your business and personal expenses
are not covered by
another income stream or cash reserve. This
will only lead to additional unmanageable
stress and be very detrimental to your trading
performance.
3 Summary
In this article we have covered the rules
that we believe should never be broken in
trading. If you work on never breaking them,
your trading should improve dramatically.
We sincerely hope this information has helped
you to improve your trading performance.
Good luck in yout trading.
About the author:
Paul King is owner and head trader of PMKing
Trading LLC, a Vermont-based proprietary
trading company founded in May 2002. Paul
has published a series of eBooks and articles
about what he considers to be the important
aspects of trading.
Visit www.pmkingtrading.comfor
more details.
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